Naeime Mollahasani; Ali Esmaeilpour; Mohammadreza Arab Bafrani
Abstract
The current research aims to identify the upcoming scenarios of the leisure patterns of urban youth in Iran in the horizon of 1406. Today, free time is so important that it is even referred to as a mirror of the society's culture, which means that how people spend their free time in a society largely ...
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The current research aims to identify the upcoming scenarios of the leisure patterns of urban youth in Iran in the horizon of 1406. Today, free time is so important that it is even referred to as a mirror of the society's culture, which means that how people spend their free time in a society largely reflects the characteristics of that society's culture. In this research, the current leisure patterns of the youth of the Islamic Revolution are analyzed and the main trends are expressed, then the most important scenarios for the leisure patterns are presented. The macro approach of the research is interpretative and qualitative, and the method used in it is scenario planning based on branch analysis, which is based on library studies and statistics from the set of quantitative and qualitative research conducted in recent years. According to the findings of the research, three critical uncertainties of adherence to family and friends group, non-secular religious beliefs and income to cost were identified and using them, eight scenarios were written, two scenarios as probable scenarios, two scenarios as desirable scenarios and A scenario is introduced as the worst scenario and finally strategies are stated to move towards the desirable scenario. The results of the research show that according to the existing trends, one of the two probable scenarios is the worst scenario, which shows the importance of special attention and planning and quick action regarding the subject of the research on the part of the authorities.